The No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines may not yet know who their first round opponent will be, but they will undoubtedly be a massive betting favorite. Michigan will take on the winner of the Mount St. Mary’s-Texas Southern play-in game on Thursday night, and figure to be a substantial favorite against either squad.

Despite falling short in the Big Ten Tournament, Michigan will be a massive first round NCAA Tournament betting odds favorite over their opponent who is yet to be determined. 

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Although Michigan’s March Madness odds aren’t yet available, expect the Wolverines to be favored by upwards of 20 points.

The Wolverines fell to rival Ohio State in the Big Ten Tournament,  but still come into the big dance as one of the nation’s most dangerous teams. They’ll draw the winner of the Mount St. Mary’s-Texas Southern matchup. Mount St. Mary’s won the Northeast Conference to qualify for the tournament, while Texas Southern claimed the SWAC championship.

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Michigan NCAA Tournament Odds

We don’t yet know the Wolverines’ first round opponent in the NCAA Tournament, but it is widely expected that they will enter as a substantial favorite in the upwards of -20 or better.

Given we don’t know the opponent, markets such as point spread, moneyline and total are yet to be determined. We do, however, know where Michigan stands in terms of odds to win it all.

The Wolverines enter the tournament at +600 to win the whole thing. They come in with the third-best championship odds behind only Gonzaga (+215) and Baylor (+250).

Other top contenders include:

  • Illinois (+800)
  • Oklahoma State (+1400)
  • Texas (+1700)
  • Alabama (+2000)
  • Florida State (+2000)

It’s noteworthy that both Illinois and Ohio State have worse odds than Michigan, despite having played better down the stretch. Clearly, oddsmakers believe in the Wolverines.

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Michigan NCAA Tournament Betting Odds Trends

If you’re looking to wager on Michigan in the first round, there are some pertinent betting trends worth considering.

  • If you’re simply looking to fill out your first round bracket, go ahead and pencil in the Wolverines to advance. No. 1 seeds are an overwhelming 135-1 straight up in first round matchups. The only loss from a No. 1 seed came three years ago when Virginia was upset by UMBC.
  • It is, however, worth noting that No.1 seeds are just 30-29-1 ATS against No. 16 seeds in thee first round over the last 15 tournaments.
  • Michigan was one of the nation’s best ATS teams this season, posting a 17-7 mark against the number. For what it’s worth, Mount St. Mary’s was 11-10 ATS and Texas Southern was 12-10-1 ATS, so Michigan was the superior ATS team.
  • It’s expected that the Wolverines could be favored by more than 20 points. If that’s the case, it doesn’t necessarily bode well for a cover. No. 1 seeds favored by more than 20 points are just 20-27 ATS against No. 16 teams in the round of 64.

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