Michigan vs. Florida State Betting Pick: Sweet 16 Prediction

Michigan is rolling into their Sweet 16 matchup against Florida State with a little bit of swagger. Although most college basketball fans expected the Wolverines to struggle without Isaiah Livers, here they are in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. Florida State, on the other hand, has reached this point by beating up on Colorado and UNC Greensboro.

The Wolverines and Seminoles will go at it on Sunday in the Sweet 16 round of the NCAA Tournament. Let’s jump into which team will get it done with Michigan vs. Florida state odds, picks and predictions.

Michigan vs. Florida State Betting Pick

Despite the fact that Michigan (22-4) is a one-seed and one of the favorites to win it all, they are not heavy favorites against Florida State (18-6). Will the Wolverines take care of business and advance to the Elite Eight or will the Seminoles end this Michigan run?

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Michigan vs. Florida State Odds

Here are the latest odds on Michigan vs. Florida State at DraftKings Sportsbook:

Michigan -2.5 (-112) // -137 // O 143.5 (-109)
Florida State +2.5 (-109) // +116 // U 143.5 (-112)

During a weekend where there are a few games with massive spreads, this is expected to be one of the closer contests of the weekend. Florida State is going to be Michigan’s toughest test up to this point in the NCAA Tournament, without a doubt.

Michigan failed to cover in the first round against Northern Texas, but they bounced back against the spread in round two against LSU. The Wolverines are 18-8 ATS this season and they are hoping to continue that hot streak with a big win over the Seminoles.

As for Florida State, they are a respectable 13-10-1 ATS this season. Clearly, they have done well, but they still lag behind Michigan in that regard.

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Why Michigan Can Cover The Spread

Michigan can score the ball in bunches. They are averaging 84 points per game in two NCAA Tournament games and that wasn’t because they ran up the score in their first-round 1 vs. 16 matchup. In fact, they just scored 86 against LSU, an SEC powerhouse.

Florida State is known for its length and aggressiveness on defense, but they are going to have a hard time slowing down the Wolverines.

Juwan Howard’s squad can beat you in a variety of ways. Even without Livers in the lineup, they have multiple guys who can go off on any given night. Eli Brooks led the way with 21 points in the win over LSU as four different Wolverines scored in double figures.

As long as Michigan’s offense shows up, they will have a great chance to cover this spread when all is said and done. Expect this one to be a shootout that comes down to the final minutes.

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Why Florida State Can Cover The Spread

Florida State’s ATS record isn’t spectacular this year, but the Seminoles have been better against big schools. They are 12-7-1 ATS in games against power conference schools compared to 1-3 ATS when playing mid-majors. This bodes well for Florida State backers as they prepare to enter Sunday’s game as a slight underdog against a power conference school.

The Seminoles were only underdogs twice this season, so this is relatively unfamiliar territory for Florida State bettors, but this isn’t a bad place to be. If this game comes down to the wire, it’s always nice to have a few points in your back pocket.

The anti-Big Ten crowd is going to be all over Florida State in this game. After the Big Ten led the field with nine NCAA Tournament teams. However, the conference could be overrated based on how they have performed in March Madness so far. Michigan is the only Big Ten team still alive.

Michigan vs. Florida State Prediction

You can count me in as someone who was skeptical about Michigan coming into the NCAA Tournament. It’s always tough to predict how a team will respond to a major injury. So far, so good for the Wolverines. Let’s keep riding the wave by taking Michigan on the spread line.

The Pick: Michigan -2.5

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