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I just don’t get it.
Sometimes, point spreads are too indicative of recent weeks. They let one bad game cloud their judgment and Vegas is too momentum-based. While there’s no such thing as momentum, there is a such thing as one team playing well and getting healthy and another team doing the opposite.
That’s the exact case when I look at Michigan State and Nebraska.
It blows me away that the spread only started out at 4.5. Nebraska just lost to one-win Purdue by double digits and is dealing with a bunch of injuries at key positions. Tommy Armstrong and Terrell Newby might not even play.
Unbeaten Michigan State has had two weeks to prepare to face lowly Nebraska and more importantly, two weeks to get healthy. Somehow, Vegas doesn’t believe Connor Cook will be able to light up the worst pass defense in America for more than a one-touchdown win.
Fortunately, the spread already moved up a point. I don’t like to give locks, but if there was ever a case for one, giving Nebraska just 5.5 points is it.
In other news, Rutgers and Michigan will likely hold off on a line until we get a midweek update on the health of Leonte Carroo, Jake Rudock and De’Veon Smith.
Here are the updated Week 10 B1G spreads, as according to Westgate Superbook.
Illinois (-1) vs. Purdue
Iowa (-6.5) vs. Indiana
Penn State vs. Northwestern (-3)
Wisconsin (-13) vs. Maryland
Minnesota vs. Ohio State (-23.5)
Michigan State (-5.5) vs. Nebraska
Rutgers vs. Michigan (N/A)
Connor O'Gara is the senior national columnist for Saturday Tradition. He's a member of the Football Writers Association of America. After spending his entire life living in B1G country, he moved to the South in 2015.