The first thing to know about Big Ten bowl projections in 2020 is this:

You have to project there being a college football season in the first place.

The B1G released its 10-game, conference-only schedule Wednesday but threats to that season are nibbling all around the edges because of the coronavirus pandemic.

Division III universities already have had all of their fall sports championships called off. Connecticut became the first FBS football program to cancel its season. Some notable players are opting out over coronavirus concerns.

Four of the Power 5 leagues, including the B1G of course, have chosen to go with conference-only schedules to ensure that, even if the season winds up being shortened, their most important games will (mostly) still be played.

It’s murky, sure, what says “cockeyed optimism” better than trying to do bowl projections in August?

So we’re going to give it a go, keeping in mind that these projections are even more fluid than normal; even the dates are in flux.

With that in mind, here are our B1G bowl projections:

Bowl
Date
Location
Matchup
Rose (CFP semi)
Jan. 1
Pasadena, Calif.
Ohio State vs. Oklahoma
Fiesta
Jan. 2
Glendale, Ariz.
Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Cotton
Dec. 30
Arlington, Texas
Penn State vs. Florida
Citrus
Jan. 1
Orlando
Michigan vs. Texas A&M
Outback
Jan. 1
Tampa, Fla.
Iowa vs. Auburn
Duke’s Mayo
TBA
Charlotte, N.C.
Illinois vs. Virginia
Music City
TBA
Nashville
Michigan St. vs. Kentucky
Pinstripe
TBA
New York
Minnesota vs. Syracuse
Cactus
TBA
Phoenix
N’western vs. Kansas St.
Quick Lane
TBA
Detroit
Indiana vs. Bwl. Green