ESPN’s FPI is predicting the outcome of the College Football Playoff and the national championship winner with the final field established.

On Sunday, Michigan was unveiled as the nation’s No. 1 seed with Washington, Texas and Alabama following behind. The No. 4 seed was particularly up for a heated debate with undefeated Florida State getting left out of the field. Georgia — defending national champs and previously No. 1 — was also left out of the field.

Heading into the Playoff, the FPI has a clear favorite to hoist the trophy as national champs. That distinction belongs to Jim Harbaugh’s program with a better than 36% chance to win it all.

For anyone looking at a longshot to win the title, Washington is not highly regarded by the system. The FPI gives the Huskies less than a 10% chance to win it all.

Here is the CFP field ranked by the FPI’s odds of winning it all:

  • Michigan — 36.2%
  • Texas — 28.8%
  • Alabama — 26.7%
  • Washington — 8.3%

The CFP semifinals will be played on New Year’s Day. Michigan and Alabama will face off in the Rose Bowl with Texas vs. Washington set for a nightcap in the Sugar Bowl.

Will Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide win another title, or will the CFP have a new face to crown as national champion this season?