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ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome of Oregon-Wisconsin in Week 12
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ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) predicts the outcome of each game ahead of each week of college football. With Week 11 behind us, the model has updated its predictions for Week 12.
The model sees Oregon as a heavy favorite in the battle between Oregon and Wisconsin in Madison. It gives the Ducks a 75.6% chance to win the matchup. This means the Badgers are getting just a 24.4% chance to pull off the home upset.
The Ducks have had a magical season to this point. The team remains at No. 1 in the latest AP Poll after improving to 10-0 in Week 11. Maryland became the latest victim of the Ducks, falling 39-18 in Eugene. The Ducks now have conference wins over UCLA, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Illinois, Michigan, and Maryland.
The Badgers, meanwhile, will enter this game with a 5-4 record. They got off to a hot start but have lost 2 games in a row. Coming off a bye in Week 11, the Badgers would love nothing more than to ruin Oregon’s perfect season at home. One more win would also clinch bowl eligibility for the Badgers.
These new B1G foes have played just 6 times in history. The all-time series is tied at 3-3, with the Ducks having won the last 3 in a row. This will be the Ducks’ first trip to Madison since 2000.
After this game, the Ducks have a matchup with Washington to close out the regular season. The Badgers, meanwhile, will close out the season with games against Nebraska and Minnesota.
The Ducks and Badgers will kick off from Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC. Oregon opened as a 14-point favorite at ESPN Bet.
Bryce Lazenby covers college football for Saturday Tradition. A Nashville native, his previous stops include FanSided, Dimers, and The Leaf-Chronicle.