No. 5 Oklahoma State came into Championship Weekend with a strong chance to make the first College Football Playoff appearance in program history with a win over No. 9 Baylor in the Big 12 Championship Game. Instead of taking care of business against Baylor as the Cowboys did earlier in the season with a 24-14 win on Oct. 2, Oklahoma State is falling apart on both sides of the ball.

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If Baylor holds on to the lead coming out of halftime, there will be major implications in the race for a Playoff spot. According to ESPN’s Playoff Predictor, with a Baylor win over Oklahoma State, four other teams get a huge boost in a spot in the Playoff. No. 6 Notre Dame’s chances rise by 15%, No. 3 Alabama’s chances rise by 11%, undefeated No. 4 Cincinnati’s chances rise by 5%, and No. 2 Michigan’s chances rise by 4%.

No. 7 Ohio State’s chances for a playoff spot go down by 36% with the bigger chances of Notre Dame taking the last spot. Ohio State would likely need a loss from Michigan to No. 13 Iowa or a Cincinnati loss to No. 21 Houston for a chance to be potentially included.