ESPN’s FPI is predicting every game on the college football schedule. For a program looking to rebound, Indiana is hoping to put together a bowl-caliber year in 2022.

Last season, the Hoosiers finished a disappointing 2-10 for the year with injuries and underwhelming performances across the board. It also led to some roster turnover coming out of 2021.

Now, Indiana has a QB battle in fall camp and a hopefully healthier defense entering 2022. Unfortunately for the Hoosiers, it may not translate into a winning season.

According to the Football Power Index, Indiana is projected to fall just short of bowl eligibility this year. While the team should be competitive in a number of games, getting to 6 games is likely to be a struggle for Tom Allen and company.

Here are the game-by-game projections per the FPI:

  • Sept. 2 vs. Illinois — 66.3% chance of winning
  • Sept. 10 vs. Idaho — 96.6% chance of winning
  • Sept. 17 vs. Western Kentucky — 52.9% chance of winning
  • Sept. 24 at Cincinnati — 17.1% chance of winning
  • Oct. 1 at Nebraska — 84% chance of winning
  • Oct. 8 vs. Michigan — 14.1% chance of winning
  • Oct. 15 vs. Maryland — 36.1% chance of winning
  • Oct. 22 at Rutgers — 36.1% chance of winning
  • Nov. 5 vs. Penn State — 42.9% chance of winning
  • Nov. 12 at Ohio State — 2% chance of winning
  • Nov. 19 at Michigan State — 87.7% chance of winning
  • Nov. 26 vs. Purdue — 36.8% chance of winning