Iowa game-by-game predictions: ESPN’s FPI projects Hawkeyes’ 2022 season

ESPN’s FPI is an interesting rating system to track and follow over the course of the college football season. The system is also predicting game outcomes for every team in college football.

Unfortunately for Iowa, the Football Power Index is not high on the Hawkeyes heading into the season. Out of 12 regular season games, Iowa is favored in just 7 games with 2 of those games hovering around the 50% mark.

Iowa’s offense is admittedly a question mark, especially at the quarterback position and without running back Tyler Goodson. However, the defense returns a lot of production and has a chance to be one of the best in the country.

Here are the full game-by-game results from the FPI:

• Sept. 3 vs. South Dakota State — 91% chance of winning
• Sept. 10 vs. Iowa State — 52% chance of winning
• Sept. 17 vs. Nevada — 90.4% chance of winning
• Sept. 24 at Rutgers — 69% chance of winning
• Oct. 1 vs. Michigan — 30% chance of winning
• Oct. 8 at Illinois — 67.8% chance of winning
• Oct. 22 at Ohio State — 5% chance of winning
• Oct. 29 vs. Northwestern — 81.6% chance of winning
• Nov. 5 at Purdue — 40.4% chance of winning
• Nov. 12 vs. Wisconsin — 45.6% chance of winning
• Nov. 19 at Minnesota — 42.6% chance of winning
• Nov. 25 vs. Nebraska — 53.5% chance of winning

If those projections hold true, Iowa will likely fall out of the race for the B1G West. However, some of those percentages appear questionable, to say the least.

Paul Harvey

Paul is a lifelong fan and student of all things college football. He has been covering college football since 2017 and the B1G since 2018.