If you’re looking for a safe college football bet this season, Michigan hitting the over on its 9.5 win projection is a good one, according to FOX Sports radio host Colin Cowherd.

On Wednesday, Cowherd went through a few over-under predictions for college football in 2019, and Michigan was one of the teams the radio host likes to hit the over this fall. According to Vegas, the Wolverines’ over-under is set at 9.5 wins.

Last year, Michigan finished 10-3.

“I’m gonna take Michigan over 9.5 wins,” Cowherd said. “They’re going to be favored in 12 games this year. I looked it up, they’re going to be favored in 12 games this year.

“Now, they’re 1-18 on the road against ranked teams, but they host Michigan State, they host Notre Dame, they host Ohio State this year. (Jim Harbaugh) has eight starters returning on offense. I think it’s his best offensive line. And the B1G is very weak at the lower middle and bottom, unlike the SEC, which is very good top, excellent in the middle, OK in the bottom. There’s a lot of Ws with that offensive line and that schedule. Just a lot of guaranteed wins against the bottom and middle of the B1G. I don’t think they’re a national championship winning team, but they may end up in the Playoff because of their returners, their quarterback and their schedule. Three toughest games, all at home.”

The addition of Josh Gattis as offensive coordinator is really the X-factor in the equation. While Michigan’s offense has looked good at times, it’s sputtered in the most important games during Harbaugh’s run. Gattis’ arrival could help get UM over the hump.

Winning 10 games may be in the cards for Michigan this season, but beating Michigan State and Ohio State are of the most importance this fall. If Harbaugh can’t accomplish that feat this year, fans won’t care too much about the win total at the end of the season.