ESPN’s FPI predicts every remaining game on Michigan’s schedule
With a new starting quarterback and significant changes along the offensive line, Michigan likely exceeded all expectations on Saturday with a 49-24 shellacking of Minnesota in the season opener.
The win vaulted the Wolverines up to the No. 13 spot in the Associated Press poll. While Michigan may have some increased confidence after the road win, its schedule hardly lets up the rest of the way.
Next up, the Wolverines will face a Michigan State team that likely has its tail between its legs following a double-digit loss at home to a Rutgers team that hadn’t won a Big Ten game since 2017. While that may look like a cakewalk, it is a rivalry game and Michigan State has been known to spoil Michigan seasons at the Big House.
Four teams currently ranked remain on the Michigan schedule. That includes a road game at Indiana on Nov. 7, home games against Wisconsin on Nov. 14 and Penn State on Nov. 28. The Wolverines’ regular-season finale is set for Dec. 12 at Ohio State in Columbus.
There’s plenty of room for Michigan to move up and make noise in the Big Ten East. But there is also room for the Wolverines to trip over themselves like they have in recent seasons. Here’s how ESPN’s FPI believes things will go down for Michigan in terms of win probability:
- Oct. 31 vs. Michigan State: 93.4%
- Nov. 7 at Indiana: 61.8%
- Nov. 14 vs. Wisconsin: 27.3%
- Nov. 21 at Rutgers: 85.6%
- Nov. 28 vs. Penn State: 44.3%
- Dec. 5 vs. Maryland: 96.8%
- Dec. 12 at Ohio State: 12.8%