When Michigan gets together with Florida in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 29, it will be the third time they will have played since Jan. 1, 2016. That’s more than the Wolverines see some of their Big Ten brethren.

But don’t be fooled. This is not the same Florida team that the Wolverines have crushed the past two meetings. This is not the Florida team that rolled over in a 41-7 in the Citrus Bowl at the end of the 2015 season. And it’s not the same team that didn’t score an offensive touchdown when Michigan won the 2017 season opener 33-17. Florida’s two touchdowns came on interception returns.

So all that overconfidence you have about Michigan winning easily once again, maybe you should just check that at the door for a while. Things have changed in Gainesville. Sure, Michigan is a 7.5-point favorite against the Gators this time around, but this game doesn’t have the same feel.

Here are five things you’re wrong about when you think of these current Florida Gators:

1. Dan Mullen has turned Feleipe Franks into a decent quarterback

Florida quarterback Feleipe Franks still has some issues, but he’s been a far better passer under first-year coach Dan Mullen than he was last year when Michigan embarrassed him and fellow QB Malik Zaire in the opener. That loss to Michigan was a deer-in-the-headlights moment for Franks. “I never doubt my ability to play football, so I don’t want to say I wasn’t ready,” Franks said Friday. “But at the same time I don’t think I was as smart about the game as I am now. Making smarter decisions, things like that, I don’t think I was ready in that case, but you know it’s a learning point for me.” Michigan will see a more patient quarterback in Franks this time around, one who’s willing to check down when he has to instead of making risky throws. The big mistakes? They probably won’t be there, even against Michigan’s aggressive defense.

2. The new offense makes it easier for Franks to find success

The numbers say a lot about Franks, but they really say even more about the new offense that Mullen has installed since arriving from Mississippi State. Franks’ passing efficiency (144.1) is up more than 30 points. He has 23 touchdown passes this season, far more than the 9 TD passes he threw a year ago. His interceptions are down (8-to-6), and his completion percentage is up almost 4 points, too. Mullen’s offense is also designed in such a way that its easier for Franks to make his reads and progressions. That’s made him a more confident quarterback.

3. The Gators’ pass rush will keep Shea Patterson on the run

Florida defensive lineman Jachai Polite is a beast. He leads the Gators with 11 sacks, and he’s had a sack in eight of their 12 games this season. The junior defensive end is probably turning pro after the Peach Bowl, and he’s a likely first-round pick. He’s been the perfect piece in Todd Grantham’s aggressive blitz-crazy defense, one that’s generated 32 sacks this year. (Florida, by the way, has allowed only 14). It’s Polite who leads the mad dash to opposing quarterbacks. “If you want to get to a sack, you better get there faster than him,” Florida safety Donovan Stiner said. Michigan’s offensive line needs to have a big day.

4. Florida’s running backs can succeed against top defenses

Sure, Michigan has a top-ranked defense, but that doesn’t scare Florida one bit. Running backs Lamical Perine and Jordan Scarlett have both rushed for more than 700 yards, and they’ve had big games against some very good defenses. Perine has had three 100-yard games and Scarlett has had two. Florida rushed for 215 yards against a stout LSU defense, getting a win for the Gators when LSU was ranked No. 5 in the country at the time. They will be ready to test Michigan’s defense as well, which will be without standout defensive lineman Rashan Gary.

5. They won their rivalry game — and you didn’t

Florida has accelerated their rebuild under Mullen. No one really expected nine wins and a New Year’s Six bowl in Mullen’s first year, but that’s where they are, and they really want that 10th win to use as a building block for chasing championships down the road. Florida comes into this game with a lot of confidence after winning its rivalry game with Florida State 41-17. Michigan, well, is staggering into the Peach Bowl after that horrible, ugly, terrible 62-39 loss to Ohio State that ruined their conference title and playoff hopes. Who’s more ready mentally?