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Pro Football Focus is putting simulations to the test. The result yields the probabilities each team has to win the 2021 B1G championships, as well as projected win totals for the upcoming seasons.
According to the site, PFF ran 10,000 simulations of each team’s regular season schedule, as well as how the conference championship game would play out this fall. Some teams have a much better shot than others.
Some of these projections have produced some interesting results. The top isn’t very surprising, with Ohio State having the highest projected win total and the best shot to win the B1G this season. The worst still belongs to Rutgers, as the Scarlet Knights are given a 0% chance to win the conference this year.
Here’s a look at how the simulations played out for all 14 B1G teams from PFF:
No. 1: Ohio State Buckeyes
B1G title probability: 48%
Projected win total: 10.4
No. 2: Iowa Hawkeyes
B1G title probability: 17%
Projected win total: 8.4
No. 3: Wisconsin Badgers
B1G title probability: 11%
Projected win total: 8.2
No. 4: Indiana Hoosiers
B1G title probability: 7%
Projected win total: 7.1
No. 5: Michigan Wolverines
B1G title probability: 5%
Projected win total: 7
No. 6: Minnesota Golden Gophers
B1G title probability: 3%
Projected win total: 6.8
No. 7: Michigan State Spartans
B1G title probability: 2%
Projected win total: 6.3
No. 8: Northwestern Wildcats
B1G title probability: 2%
Projected win total: 6.8
No. 9: Penn State Nittany Lions
B1G title probability: 2%
Projected win total: 7.2
No. 10: Illinois Fighting Illini
B1G title probability: 1%
Projected win total: 5.1
No. 11: Maryland Terrapins
B1G title probability: 1%
Projected win total: 5.5
No. 12: Nebraska Cornhuskers
B1G title probability: 1%
Projected win total: 5.1
No. 13: Purdue Boilermakers
B1G title probability: 1%
Projected win total: 4.9
No. 14: Rutgers Scarlet Knights
B1G title probability: 0%
Projected win total: 4.3
Dustin grew up in the heart of Big Ten country and has been in sports media since 2010. He has been covering Big Ten football since 2014. You can follow him on Twitter: @SchutteCFB