ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome of Ohio State’s remaining games after Week 3

Ryan Day has Ohio State rolling after kicking off B1G play with a bang.

In Week 3, the Buckeyes rolled into Bloomington and dominated Indiana to the tune of a 51-10 victory. It is true that the Hoosiers were missing quarterback Michael Penix Jr., but his absence likely had little to do with the final outcome. It was a complete performance with Ohio State recording a blocked punt and pick-six in addition to its work on offense.

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Following the dominant showing to begin conference play, the Buckeyes saw a bump in their win probabilities on ESPN’s FPI. After notching their first conference win, Justin Fields and company are given at least a 68% chance to win every remaining game on the schedule. They are given an 80% or better win probability in six of the nine remaining games.

Here’s Ohio State’s win probability in every game the rest of the way, according to the FPI:

Sept. 21 vs Miami (OH) – 98.9%
Sept. 28 @ Nebraska – 84.0%
Oct. 5 vs Michigan State – 81.8%
Oct. 18 @ Northwestern – 91.7%
Oct. 26 vs Wisconsin – 72.3%
Nov. 9 vs Maryland – 91.1%
Nov. 16 @ Rutgers – 96.7%
Nov. 23 vs Penn State – 74.6%
Nov. 30 @ Michigan – 68.7%