ESPN's FPI predicts the outcome of The Game in Week 14
ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) predicts the outcome of every college football game before every week. Week 13 was a wild one, with several ranked teams going down, and now the model’s predictions are out for Week 14.
One of the most famous rivalry matchups is The Game between Ohio State and Michigan. The model sees Ohio State as a huge favorite in Week 14, giving the Buckeyes a 91.8% chance to win. This means the model gives the Wolverines just an 8.2% chance to pull off the upset in Columbus.
Entering this matchup, the Buckeyes are 10-1 and 7-1 in B1G play. The Wolverines, meanwhile, are 6-5 overall with a 4-4 mark in conference play. The Wolverines got past Northwestern in Week 13 to secure bowl eligibility while the Buckeyes dominated Indiana in a top-5 matchup.
The Buckeyes opened as a 20.5-point favorite for this one at bet365. Fans can find the best offers for The Game via Tradition’s Ohio sports betting promos.
Aside from the rivalry aspect, this is a huge game for the Buckeyes. The team needs to win this game to secure a rematch against Oregon in the Big Ten Championship Game. A win over Michigan also likely ensures the Buckeyes clinch a spot in the College Football Playoff.
The Wolverines aren’t going to be in the conference championship game or the Playoff, but they are looking to make it 4 wins in a row against their heated rival. The Buckeyes have not won The Game since 2019 and haven’t won at home since 2018.
In 2024, the Buckeyes have sported an elite defense. The unit is No. 1 in the country in total defense, allowing just 241.7 yards per game. The Wolverines have struggled immensely on offense, sporting the No. 128 total offense, making this a bad matchup for the team.
The Game will kick off from Columbus on Saturday at Noon ET.