We’re still a week-and-a-half away from the first College Football Playoff poll coming out, but that doesn’t mean the playoff field discussion will wait.

Some are already forecasting possible scenarios for one-loss teams or debating whether or not certain teams are alive if they win out.

All of that will play itself out. But seven weeks into the season, Vegas feels like it has a pretty good idea of how good the teams at the top are.

Golden Nugget came up with spreads for the likely College Football Playoff candidates. Michigan and Ohio State  would certainly have different outlooks if the season ended today.

Michigan would be an underdog to everyone but Washington while OSU would be the favorite to everyone except Alabama:

Surprising is the fact that Alabama would be a seven-point favorite against OSU at a neutral site. The Buckeyes likely haven’t been that big of an underdog since the last time they faced Alabama, which was the 2014 Sugar Bowl.

We all remember how that turned out.

Michigan would inevitably get more respect if it took down OSU in the regular season finale. But if the Wolverines made it to the College Football Playoff two years removed from missing a bowl game altogether, there probably wouldn’t be much bitterness heading into a possible semifinal.