Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: it could be a very long season yet again for Rutgers football.
It is hard to believe, but the Scarlet Knights won eight games in a season as recently as 2014. They have 11 wins total since then, including seven in three years under head coach Chris Ash.
Remarkably, Rutgers lost 11 straight games in 2018 after a season-opening win over Texas State. Even more remarkably, the most impressive performances of the season came in losses to Indiana, Northwestern, and Michigan State. The Scarlet Knights lost those three games by a total of 14 points.
So 2018 was bad, but it was nearly a little bit better. Still, close only counts for so much in college football and things could be just as bad this season.
According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, Rutgers is favored in just two games all season long. One of those games is against Liberty who is beginning its full FBS membership in 2019. But before you cross that game off as a win, it is worth noting that ex-Ole Miss head coach Hugh Freeze was hired to coach the Flames in the off-season.
With that in mind, here is Rutgers’ full schedule and projected win probability, per the FPI:
- August 30: UMass: 85.2% win probability
- September 7: at Iowa: 7.8% win probability
- September 21: Boston College: 42.4% win probability
- September 28: at Michigan: 2.3% win probability
- October 5: Maryland: 41.6% win probability
- October 12: at Indiana: 13.1% win probability
- October 19: Minnesota: 18.8% win probability
- October 26: Liberty: 75.6% win probability
- November 2: at Illinois: 32.7% win probability
- November 16: Ohio State: 11.9% win probability
- November 23: Michigan State: 10.5% win probability
- November 30: at Penn State: 4.6% win probability