Wisconsin is in desperate need of a dominate win this week against New Mexico State.

The Badgers fell to unranked Washington State last week in a low-scoring affair, 17-14. Not only that, but the then-No. 19 ranked Badgers were at home in Madison. Not a great way to start a season that carried some hefty expectations.

ESPN’s FPI predicts each and every Division 1 college football game, including Wisconsin-New Mexico State. It gives the Badgers a 98.5% chance to take care of business against the Aggies at home.

New Mexico State is plenty familiar with the B1G already this season. The Aggies are searching for their first win of the season after being stomped by Minnesota in Week 2 and taking losses to Nevada and UTEP in Weeks 0 and 2, respectively.

If they’re going to do anything on Saturday, New Mexico State has to get the ball in the hands of Diego Pavia, who has rushed for 119 yards and 2 touchdowns this season.

The game is set to kick off at 3:30 pm EST on Big Ten Network.