ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome of Penn State’s remaining games after Week 3

The Nittany Lions are looking good through three weeks with their sights set on something big this season.

Many wondered how Penn State and James Franklin would adjust to life without Trace McSorley, but the early returns have been promising. There is speed across the field for the Nittany Lions at key positions, and jumping out to a 3-0 start should not be overlooked.

Week 4 is the first bye for the team before entering into B1G play in Week 5. And while some tough games remain on the schedule, Penn State should factor into the B1G East race for much of the season.

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Coming out of Week 3, ESPN’s FPI is giving the Nittany Lions a favorable win probability in the majority of games the rest of the way. Penn State is currently favored in games against Iowa and Michigan, but road trips to Michigan State and Ohio State are predicted to pose a problem.

Here’s Penn State’s remaining schedule in terms of win probability, according to the FPI:

• Sept. 27 @ Maryland – 68.5%
• Oct. 5 vs Purdue – 93.7%
• Oct. 12 @ Iowa – 57.7%
• Oct. 19 vs Michigan – 67.0%
• Oct. 26 @ Michigan State – 48.5%
• Nov. 9 @ Minnesota – 75.3%
• Nov. 16 vs Indiana – 89.8%
• Nov. 23 @ Ohio State – 25.4%
• Nov. 30 vs Rutgers – 97.0%

Paul Harvey

Paul is a lifelong fan and student of all things college football. He has been covering college football since 2017 and the B1G since 2018.