ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome of Michigan’s remaining games after Week 4

A lot can change in just a couple of weeks.

After entering the season with serious B1G Championship expectations, Michigan’s 2-0 start came to a halt with Saturday’s loss to Wisconsin. Not only did the Wolverines lose, but they were essentially humiliated in Madison.

At this point, expectations for the year – and possibly Jim Harbaugh’s tenure in Ann Arbor – have drastically shifted. The Wolverines are no longer the favorites, and there are more questions than answers around the program.

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Following Week 4, ESPN’s FPI drastically shifted for Michigan. The Wolverines are all the way at No. 19, and the outlook for the rest of the season is not entirely positive. Michigan is projected to lose three more games with multiple tight battles left.

Here is the win probability for the rest of the season, according to the FPI:

• Sept. 28 vs Rutgers – 95.8%
• Oct. 5 vs Iowa – 61.4%
• Oct. 12 @ Illinois – 85.6%
• Oct. 19 @ Penn State – 25.1%
• Oct. 26 vs Notre Dame – 29.0%
• Nov. 2 @ Maryland – 52.6%
• Nov. 16 vs Michigan State – 54.4%
• Nov. 23 @ Indiana – 69.7%
• Nov. 30 vs Ohio State – 19.0%

Paul Harvey

Paul is a lifelong fan and student of all things college football. He has been covering college football since 2017 and the B1G since 2018.