Last year, in 2018, Wisconsin finished 8-5 overall.

The season was seen as a bit of a disappointment, which is a testament to where the Badgers are at now as a program. If Wisconsin isn’t winning 10-plus games and getting to the B1G Championship, it’s essentially seen as a down year.

Fair or not, that’s the reality.

The reality for 2019, according to ESPN’s FPI, is a 6-6 season.

The FPI has Wisconsin projected at winning 6.6 games this season. Of course, that’s not possible. However, the Badgers are projected to most likely win six and lose six as well.

Wisconsin starts this season against a couple teams it should beat in South Florida and Central Michigan. In Week 3, though, is when the real fun probably begins: at home against Michigan.

After Michigan, the Badgers get Northwestern, Kent State and Michigan State at home. To the surprise of probably some, the Spartans are expected to win that game on the road at Wisconsin according to the FPI.

Wisconsin then closes out its season with four road games in its last six with games at Illinois, Ohio State, Nebraska and Minnesota. The Badgers are supposed to go 1-3 in those four, while splitting against Iowa and Purdue at home.

Here’s a look game-by-game at how ESPN’s FPI sees Wisconsin’s season going:

  • August 30: at South Florida: 66.2% win probability
  • September 7: Central Michigan: 94.7% win probability
  • September 21: Michigan: 19.3% win probability
  • September 28: Northwestern: 67.8% win probability
  • October 5: Kent State: 93.6% win probability
  • October 12: Michigan State: 36.3% win probability
  • October 19: at Illinois: 72.2% win probability
  • October 26: at Ohio State: 21.9% win probability
  • November 9: Iowa: 46.3% win probability
  • November 16: at Nebraska: 33.4% win probability
  • November 23: Purdue: 71.9% win probability
  • November 30: at Minnesota: 35.4% win probability

Related: ESPN’s FPI predicts Illinois’ 2019 schedule

ESPN’s FPI — Maryland

ESPN’s FPI — Purdue

ESPN’s FPI — Rutgers